Just before the release of the U.S. CPI data, the ten-year yield fell from a high of 4.40% to around 4.36%, with the two-year now at 4.741%. Investors are focusing on the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting minutes and key inflation data to track new clues about the timing and magnitude of rate cuts.

Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar
Source: SignalPlus & TradingView, The fluctuation range shows a narrowing trend.

In terms of digital currencies, the IBIT ETF saw a recovery in buying flow yesterday, essentially breaking even with the outflow from GBTC. On the price side, BTC has been stabilizing below $7W, with a trend of narrowing fluctuations. As for options, the implied volatility for April has dropped by 3–4% Vol. Looking at the trades, the selling pressure at the end of April for BTC was unusually strong, mostly concentrated at key levels of $75,000/$80,000/$100,000, causing a significant tilt in the front-end Vol Skew once again. The ETH 19 APR 24 call options show a Seagull Flow, indicating a relatively cautious attitude towards downward volatility.

Source: Deribit (As of 10 APR 8:00 UTC)
Source: SignalPlus, ATM Vol
Source: SignalPlus, Vol Skew
Data Source: Deribit, ETH 19 APR 24 shows Seagull Flow; 28 JUN 24 is a 3000–2500 Long Put Spread; 31 MAY 24 is a Long Call for 4000 & 4100.
Data Source: Deribit, BTC trading distribution, a large number of call options sold by the end of April.
Source: Deribit Block Trade
Source: Deribit Block Trade

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